Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000856 0.000920 0.000987 0.001063 0.001147 0.001238 0.001343
2026-01-18 0.000763 0.000849 0.000945 0.001059 0.001193 0.001346 0.001536
2026-01-25 0.000802 0.000921 0.001060 0.001233 0.001448 0.001708 0.002053
2026-02-01 0.000725 0.000849 0.000997 0.001187 0.001431 0.001738 0.002162
2026-02-08 0.000669 0.000795 0.000949 0.001154 0.001423 0.001773 0.002275
2026-02-15 0.000630 0.000760 0.000922 0.001141 0.001438 0.001836 0.002429
2026-02-22 0.000591 0.000721 0.000886 0.001113 0.001429 0.001863 0.002532
2026-03-01 0.000550 0.000678 0.000842 0.001072 0.001397 0.001855 0.002580
2026-03-08 0.000524 0.000653 0.000819 0.001058 0.001400 0.001895 0.002704
2026-03-15 0.000499 0.000627 0.000794 0.001037 0.001394 0.001920 0.002803
2026-03-22 0.000464 0.000586 0.000747 0.000984 0.001334 0.001859 0.002758
2026-03-29 0.000444 0.000565 0.000726 0.000966 0.001327 0.001878 0.002845
2026-04-05 0.000425 0.000546 0.000709 0.000957 0.001337 0.001934 0.003018
2026-04-12 0.000408 0.000529 0.000696 0.000952 0.001354 0.002003 0.003227
2026-04-19 0.000438 0.000580 0.000781 0.001102 0.001631 0.002537 0.004399
2026-04-26 0.000413 0.000550 0.000746 0.001062 0.001592 0.002518 0.004475
2026-05-03 0.000392 0.000526 0.000719 0.001034 0.001569 0.002524 0.004605
2026-05-10 0.000378 0.000510 0.000703 0.001022 0.001576 0.002586 0.004865
2026-05-17 0.000361 0.000490 0.000681 0.000999 0.001557 0.002598 0.005016
2026-05-24 0.000343 0.000467 0.000652 0.000963 0.001516 0.002561 0.005043
2026-05-31 0.000331 0.000454 0.000638 0.000950 0.001515 0.002603 0.005272
2026-06-07 0.000319 0.000439 0.000621 0.000933 0.001503 0.002624 0.005450
2026-06-14 0.000301 0.000415 0.000588 0.000886 0.001434 0.002519 0.005285